UPDATE 12n: See updated graphic from NWS tweet below... The forecast cone does now touch the east coast.
Although, currently just a Tropical Storm, forecasters are predicting Florence will strengthen to Category 4 status, potentially making landfall, along the Carolina coast sometime Wednesday/Thursday.
The exact track is still is still not certain, but with each passing update, models continue to lean toward an east coast landfall - perhaps in the Carolinas - potentially as a Category 4 Hurricane.
In Virginia, the greatest risk is for the eastern beaches. Although the current predicted track is trending toward North and South Carolina, just a minor adjustment north could mean direct hit for Virginia Beach and Norfolk.
For interior Virginia, the impact would nowhere near as disastrous as a direct hit from a Cat 4 hurricane. But tropical conditions, perhaps even Florence as a Tropical Storm cannot yet be ruled out for the Roanoke/Lynchburg region. This could mean heavy amounts of flooding rains, sustained winds over 45mph, with higher gusts. Flooding, particular east of the Blue Ridge would be a great concern.
We will be monitoring the progress of Florence as it approaches the East Coast.